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Beyond Ephology. Are Reform likely to win a 2029 General Election?

In Uncategorized on September 26, 2025 by kmflett

In the unlikely event that you check the Daily Express, Telegraph, GBNews etc not only are Reform going to win the next Election it will take place soon and Farage will be PM. How he will manage that along with his PFLs never seems to be asked,

A new YouGov poll which looks at current sentiment across every English, Scottish and Welsh Constituency suggests that Reform could be the largest party in 2029. Its a long time off of course.

YouGov are a major commercial polling organisation and they are not these days in the business of what E P Thompson labelled as far back as 1959 as Ephology. That is polls which seek not to report opinion but shape it.

Hence their current poll in fact looks at a range of possible 2029 outcomes (graphic above) and notes that in 86 seats the projected Reform lead is so small that a poll victory is far from sure (Labour successfully worked on small margins in 2024 but are now paying the price)

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