Prof John Curtice has spoken to Wales On Line about Senedd polls, which he notes a relatively few and should be seen as broad brush rather than having a high degree of accuracy. He gives them a ‘do not inhale’ warning.
That said the above poll reflects trends in England except that, as with the Caerphilly by-election, those looking for a social-democratic-ish alternative to Labour are moving mostly to Plaid rather than the Greens. It underlines again too that the switch from Labour to Reform is quite limited. Finally as with other polls Labour is retaining a chunk of its 2024 support and Curtice notes that some improvement in Labour support between now and May might change the picture again somewhat unlikely as it currently seems
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