Kmflett's Blog

Financial Times 14th March

The FT’s headline for the above graphic was ‘Tehran surpasses expectations with scale of counter attack’

Trump clearly thought the war with Iran would cause regime change in short order and did not plan for a longer conflict (Tehran did). In particular as Trump’s efforts to engage other countries to act to protect the passage of oil through the Strait of Hormuz underlines he had no contingency for what should have been understood as an obvious Tehran strategy.

None of this means that the US and Israel won’t ultimately succeed in getting some kind of ill defined change in Tehran. It does meant that the global impact, at best perceived dimly by Trump, is significant