
The Guardian has a piece on riots today including my historically based view that the Kaiser Chiefs are wrong. You can’t predict a riot.
You can predict pogroms such as the one in Belfast earlier this week and which saw a huge anti-racist demonstration from United Against Racism and trades unions today.
Riots however can’t be predicted. They require some kind of flash point. No doubt this was what a small number of UKIP supporters and other assorted fascists planned in Brighton on 13th June. They got nowhere because a massive anti-racist demonstration stood in their way
The balance of forces on the day was key. To some extent this can be planned but how matters play out can’t be predicted.


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